The longest NCAA bracket has ever been correct

The longest (verifiable) streak of proper alternatives in an NCAA event bracket to begin the liked March Insanity event is 49, a streak that used to be established in 2019.

An Ohio guy accurately predicted all of the 2019 NCAA event into the Candy 16, one thing we’ve not noticed in years of monitoring publicly verifiable on-line March Insanity brackets throughout all primary sports activities.

The final easiest males’s NCAA bracket in 2022 used to be busted at the first Friday of the event when No. 11 Iowa State dissatisfied No. 6 LSU, 59-54. That is when this bracket created through ESPN person “bekins24” were given busted.

In 2021, all ultimate proper brackets in 28 have been damaged because of a number of huge upsetsthPlay. This in fact follows 2020, when COVID-19 compelled the cancellation of the NCAA event.

Previous to the 2019 NCAA event, the longest streak of easiest alternatives we noticed within the March Insanity bracket used to be 39 video games, accomplished in 2017.

Then Greg Niggle of Columbus in brief broke that list within the Capital One NCAA March Insanity Bracket Problem with the well-known “Heart Highway” NCAA event bracket, accurately predicting the primary 49 video games of the 2019 event earlier than finishing in Sport 50. when 3-seed Purdue defeated 2-seed Tennessee 99–94 in extra time of the second one sport within the Candy 16.

Niggle, a neuropsychologist from Columbus, Ohio, was the primary verified bracket to accurately pick out the Candy 16.

With greater than 3 a long time of scrutiny of on-line and paper brackets (the present layout has existed since 1985) and an estimated 60 million to 100 million brackets filed each and every 12 months, it is slightly conceivable that somebody has performed a long way, a long way higher. Are. Figuring out an reputable list is made much more tough through the truth that on-line video games have handiest just lately offered intensive record-keeping.

We’ve got intently tracked roughly 20 to twenty-five million on-line brackets in line with 12 months in about part a dozen primary sports activities since 2016, the usage of public leaderboards together with direct reporting and knowledge accumulating from the ones sports activities. Previous to 2016, we trusted studies from the ones video games in addition to on-line archives to get the most productive knowledge to be had.

Till Niggle, lets no longer in finding any verified brackets that are compatible Candy 16 precisely. There used to be a broadly reported instance of a bracket getting via two rounds in 2010, however there used to be no means to ensure the authenticity of the bracket. Deadspin reported on the time that it used to be entered into a web-based sport the place alternatives may well be modified between rounds.

Greg Niggle's 2019 NCAA bracket is perfect through the first two rounds.Greg Niggle’s 2019 NCAA bracket is easiest throughout the first two rounds.

This is the place we stood in each and every of the previous years:


Because of UMBC’s historical 16-1 dissatisfied over Virginia, no outright NCAA bracket went via to the primary spherical on Friday night time. Of the million brackets we tracked, 25 have been easiest throughout the first 28 video games of the event, however UMBC’s win in sport No. 29 edged all of them out.


We noticed a fantastic 39 video games picked to begin the event, the absolute best quantity recorded until 2019. 39 directly easiest alternatives gave Brackett his first lack of the event earlier than Iowa State fixed a comeback towards Purdue.


The longest this 12 months used to be 25 video games, With Stephen F. Austin’s win over West Virginia on Friday night time, the final ultimate outright NCAA event bracket used to be busted. A fifteen–2 dissatisfied (Heart Tennessee at Michigan State) made this a tricky 12 months for the brackets.


In line with a tale through ESPN senior creator Darren Rowell, one bracket accurately picked the primary 34 video games within the ESPN On-line Bracket Sport, it used to be some other top-notch 12 months. ESPN said in 2016 that his 2015 bracket used to be the most productive begin to a event on list in his 18 years of taking part in.

2014 (and previous)

Yahoo! Previous to 2017, the longest easiest bracket streak tracked used to be 36. Play. In 2014, Brad Binder went 36-for-36 to begin the event. Yahoo! Sports activities reported that Binder’s bracket used to be the one time a super bracket went to the second one spherical in additional than 18 years of website hosting a sport.

Within the 2019 event, an surprisingly top collection of easiest brackets survived the primary spherical because of the relative predictability of the NCAA event (height seeds profitable). We tracked an estimated 25 million brackets since inception throughout six primary on-line video games, together with the Capital One March Insanity Bracket Problem on 15 of them have been easiest after the primary 32 suits of the event.

Saturday narrowed that box quite additional, and, CBS, ESPN, Fox Sports activities, Sports activities Illustrated and Yahoo! However in sports activities, handiest two March Insanity brackets have been transferring via 40 video games on Sunday – a bracket at Nigl’s and Yahoo.

The brackets disagreed at the fourth sport of the day – Texas Tech-Buffalo. When Texas Tech received, it left handiest Niggle’s “Heart Highway” bracket as the one proper March Insanity bracket left. Heart Highway survived a number of scares on Sunday, together with a Tennessee extra time win and Duke’s break out over UCF.

And after a Gonzaga win to begin the Candy 16, the “Heart Highway” bracket suffered its first loss as Purdue defeated Tennessee 99–94 in extra time within the fiftieth sport of the event. That run of 49 easiest video games will probably be very arduous to height one day. Facet be aware, that is the second one time in 3 years that Purdue has busted a record-holding easiest bracket.

The percentages of a super 63-game NCAA bracket may well be as top as 1 in 9.2 quintillion – despite the fact that the ones are easiest bracket odds if each and every sport used to be a 50-50 coin turn. In the event you issue NCAA males’s basketball wisdom into the formulation, in line with the overdue DePaul professor Jeff Bergen, your possibilities of opting for a proper bracket may well be as little as 1 in 28 billion.

Bergen estimated that if each and every particular person on this planet of seven.5 billion began filling one pot in line with minute, it will take greater than 2,000 years to fill the 9.2 quintals.

, Dan Jepperson, Mike Schatz and Daniel Wilko contributed to this reporting